F91 Diddeleng 2-0 Atletic Club DEscaldes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.77
2-3 Goals
47%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 22% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME F91 Diddeleng EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME F91 Diddeleng
2-0
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH F91 Diddeleng vs Atletic Club DEscaldes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

F91 Diddeleng got the better of Atletic Club DEscaldes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had F91 Diddeleng as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, F91 Diddeleng had 42% of the ball to Atletic Club DEscaldes's 58%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of F91 Diddeleng vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

F91 Diddeleng 2-0 Atletic Club DEscaldes in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for F91 Diddeleng vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

Before kick-off our model rated a F91 Diddeleng win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split F91 Diddeleng 47%, draw 27%, Atletic Club DEscaldes 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (F91 Diddeleng), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (F91 Diddeleng) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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