KuPS Kuopio 5-0 UNA Strassen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
24%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-18.4pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
11%
+14.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY UNA Strassen EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
0W-1D-0L
AWAY UNA Strassen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.07.2024 UNA Strassen UNA Strassen 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
5-0
AWAY UNA Strassen
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs UNA Strassen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio swept aside UNA Strassen 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 53% of the ball to UNA Strassen's 47%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs UNA Strassen?

KuPS Kuopio 5-0 UNA Strassen in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs UNA Strassen?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 53%, draw 23%, UNA Strassen 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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