St Josephs 1-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.73
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.29
6+ Goals
7%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Josephs EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-16% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Josephs
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.07.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 1-1 St Josephs St Josephs AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Josephs
1-1
AWAY Shelbourne
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH St Josephs vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Josephs and Shelbourne couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St Josephs had 60% of the ball to Shelbourne's 40%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of St Josephs vs Shelbourne?

St Josephs 1-1 Shelbourne in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Josephs vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St Josephs 35%, draw 28%, Shelbourne 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shelbourne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5
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