Inter Club 5-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.57
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Club EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 43%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+57% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Club
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.07.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Club Inter Club AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Club
5-1
AWAY Velez Mostar
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Inter Club vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Club swept aside Velez Mostar 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Mostar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Inter Club had 50% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 50%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Inter Club vs Velez Mostar?

Inter Club 5-1 Velez Mostar in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Club vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Inter Club 29%, draw 27%, Velez Mostar 45%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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