Urartu 2-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.9pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urartu EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
445 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urartu
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.07.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 1-1 Urartu Urartu AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urartu
2-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Urartu vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urartu got the better of Tallinna Kalev 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Urartu as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Urartu had 62% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 38%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Urartu vs Tallinna Kalev?

Urartu 2-0 Tallinna Kalev in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urartu vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urartu win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Urartu 65%, draw 16%, Tallinna Kalev 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urartu), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urartu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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