Tallinna Kalev 1-2 Urartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.87
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
38%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
22%
+12.6pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.3pp
38%
Away Win
57%
-19.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Urartu EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1-2
AWAY Urartu
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Urartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urartu edged past Tallinna Kalev 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Urartu made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 35% of the ball to Urartu's 65%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Urartu?

Tallinna Kalev 1-2 Urartu in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Urartu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urartu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 35%, draw 27%, Urartu 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urartu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urartu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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