Shelbourne 2-1 St Josephs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-15.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY St Josephs EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
2-1
AWAY St Josephs
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs St Josephs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past St Josephs 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shelbourne had 60% of the ball to St Josephs's 40%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs St Josephs?

Shelbourne 2-1 St Josephs in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs St Josephs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 55%, draw 23%, St Josephs 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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