Paide Linnameeskond 4-1 Magpies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-16.6pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.6pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Magpies EU Bookmakers 14%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.32
-56% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -33%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
473 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.0
Crosses 2.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Magpies
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.07.2025 Magpies Magpies 2-3 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
4-1
AWAY Magpies
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Magpies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond cruised past Magpies 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 71% of the ball to Magpies's 29%, shots finished 17-4.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Magpies?

Paide Linnameeskond 4-1 Magpies in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Magpies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 56%, draw 25%, Magpies 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ BTTS No
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