Club America 3-1 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.29
Over
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.55
2-3
40%
1.89
4-5
26%
2.73
6+
12%
7.32
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.55 — our 22% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Club America win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
69%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana The Market 16%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +1%
2.06/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.27
+19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.6 Crosses 13.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tijuana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 1.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 423
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2025 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 0-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
22.11.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 2-2 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
24.10.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 2-2 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
14.01.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
05.11.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
20.02.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
3-1
AWAY Tijuana
1.81 xG 0.70
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
498 Passes 214
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Club America vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America got the better of Tijuana 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Club America had 67% of the ball to Tijuana's 33%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.81 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Club America vs Tijuana?

Club America 3-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Club America 60%, draw 21%, Tijuana 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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