Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Jul 2026

📅17/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.29
2-3 Goals
33%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
15%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.44
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.8
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
6%
7.95
X/2
19%
4.75
X/X
10%
5.65
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.46
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.8 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 54%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.77/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.39
+35% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.6 Crosses 17.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.67 xG 2.19
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
250 Passes 405
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2026 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
03.04.2026 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 5-1 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
15.03.2026 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.10.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
16.08.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
23.07.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-2 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.80 xG 0.99
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
193 Passes 449
18 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Chengdu Qianbao shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.80 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.83 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 28%, draw 23%, Chengdu Qianbao 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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