Henan Jianye 5-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Jul 2026

📅17/07/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.22
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.93
2-3 Goals
32%
2.03
4-5 Goals
29%
2.41
6+ Goals
16%
5.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.31
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
25.5
X/1
20%
3.81
X/2
4%
26.0
X/X
5%
10.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.2
2/2
4%
21.8
2/X
4%
30.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
77%
-3.6pp
15%
Draw
14%
+0.8pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+2.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.87/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.37
-36% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
26.7 Crosses 14.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 Passes 292
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2026 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
04.04.2026 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
29.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
02.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 HT 2-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
20.04.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
01.04.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-3 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
5-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.40 xG 0.50
23 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
297 Passes 259
42 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye cruised past Qingdao Jonoon 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 3.40 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.33 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Henan Jianye 5-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 74%, draw 15%, Qingdao Jonoon 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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