Charlton Athletic 1-0 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 34% vs market 29.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1 EV+ ✓
22%
4.66
X/2
12%
6.4
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.88
2/X
7%
13.95
Value flag · X/1 at 4.66 — our 22% vs market 16.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.52/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.33
+38% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
274 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 67%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.4 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.49 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
261 Passes 294
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
05.08.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
14.07.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient HAZ
09.11.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNTK
10.11.2020 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-1 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK
14.08.2012 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
1-0
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.86 xG 0.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
285 Passes 212
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic edged past Leyton Orient 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 56% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 44%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.86 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Charlton Athletic and 0.83 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient?

Charlton Athletic 1-0 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 42%, draw 28%, Leyton Orient 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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