Shrewsbury 1-4 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

Shrewsbury
1-4 HT 1-1
Peterborough United
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Shrewsbury vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 29% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.95
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
7.01
X/2
13%
4.68
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.81
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.0pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shrewsbury v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
0.91/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.91
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
241 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
18.5 Crosses 19.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Shrewsbury vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.63 xG 2.15
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
176 Passes 491
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
23.12.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-2 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.04.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-3 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.03.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 1-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
26.11.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-1 HT 3-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United FAK
30.01.2021 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1

Shrewsbury 1-4 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-4
AWAY Peterborough United
0.64 xG 3.19
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
162 Passes 410
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United cruised past Shrewsbury 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 35% of the ball to Peterborough United's 65%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.64 to 3.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.67 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Peterborough United?

Shrewsbury 1-4 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 34%, draw 22%, Peterborough United 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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