Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mansfield Town v Burton Albion — Team-Based Signals
Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Mansfield Town
İNTK
1-2
HT 1-2
Mansfield Town
İNTK
2-1
HT 2-0
Mansfield Town
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Burton Albion
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Mansfield Town
İN2
Mansfield Town 3-3 Burton Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Mansfield Town and Burton Albion shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Mansfield Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Mansfield Town had 54% of the ball to Burton Albion's 46%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 3.26 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.33 for Burton Albion.
What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
Mansfield Town 3-3 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 47%, draw 28%, Burton Albion 25%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.