Peterborough United 2-1 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

Peterborough United
2-1 HT 0-1
Shrewsbury
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Peterborough United vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 27% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.53
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
22.15
X/1
21%
3.42
X/2
4%
18.35
X/X
13%
7.54
2/1
6%
22.15
2/2
5%
14.4
2/X
5%
22.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.7pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.70/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.55
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 67%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
27.4 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Peterborough United vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Shrewsbury
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.33 xG 0.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
445 Passes 190
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-2 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.04.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-3 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.03.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 1-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
26.11.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-1 HT 3-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United FAK
30.01.2021 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
31.10.2020 Peterborough United Peterborough United 5-1 HT 2-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1

Peterborough United 2-1 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
2-1
AWAY Shrewsbury
2.73 xG 0.55
74% Ball Possession 26%
20 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
648 Passes 154
86% Pass Accuracy 59%
35 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United squeezed past Shrewsbury 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peterborough United had 74% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 26%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.73 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Peterborough United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Peterborough United and 1.33 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Shrewsbury?

Peterborough United 2-1 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 63%, draw 23%, Shrewsbury 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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