Stamford 1-0 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
2.13/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.28
+36% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stamford
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Stourbridge
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Stamford Stamford 3-0 HT 2-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stamford vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stamford squeezed past Stourbridge 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; Stamford found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stamford had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stamford and 0.50 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Stamford vs Stourbridge?

Stamford 1-0 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stamford 38%, draw 22%, Stourbridge 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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