Östers 1-0 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 17 Aug 2024

Östers
1-0 HT 1-0
Örgryte
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Östers vs Örgryte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.44
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
21%
3.87
X/2
8%
13.65
X/X
9%
7.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.1
2/2
8%
9.56
2/X
6%
17.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.1 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östers v Örgryte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.79/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.87
-3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Östers vs Örgryte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Örgryte
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
27.08.2023 Östers Östers 2-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
08.05.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 1-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
22.10.2022 Östers Östers 2-2 HT 2-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
18.04.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 0-1 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
22.08.2021 Östers Östers 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östers vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers edged past Örgryte 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Östers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Östers and 1.00 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Östers vs Örgryte?

Östers 1-0 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Östers 58%, draw 21%, Örgryte 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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