Skövde AIK 1-3 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.0
1/2
10%
23.6
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
8%
10.1
X/2
14%
3.84
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.11
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
53%
Away Win
57%
-4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 61%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.91/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.73
-23% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skövde AIK
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.05.2024 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
11.11.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
01.06.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Skövde AIK vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF saw off Skövde AIK 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Helsingborgs IF as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Skövde AIK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Skövde AIK and 0.00 for Helsingborgs IF.

What was the final score of Skövde AIK vs Helsingborgs IF?

Skövde AIK 1-3 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skövde AIK vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Skövde AIK 22%, draw 25%, Helsingborgs IF 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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