Trelleborgs FF 1-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 17 Aug 2024

Trelleborgs FF
1-0 HT 0-0
Östersunds FK
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Trelleborgs FF vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.19
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
13%
5.34
X/2
9%
6.31
X/X
13%
5.06
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
16%
4.04
2/X
10%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trelleborgs FF v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.36/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.37
-9% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Trelleborgs FF vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Östersunds FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.82 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 Passes 369
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
27.08.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-2 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
15.05.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
22.10.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
19.04.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
05.11.2018 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF squeezed past Östersunds FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Trelleborgs FF found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 1.17 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Östersunds FK?

Trelleborgs FF 1-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 38%, draw 30%, Östersunds FK 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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