Marconi Stallions 1-2 Blacktown City Demons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.53/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.93
-16% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.7 Crosses 25.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marconi Stallions
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Blacktown City Demons
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.31 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
242 Passes 285
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 3-0 HT 1-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
25.06.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 3-1 HT 2-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
11.03.2023 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 2-0 HT 2-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
04.06.2022 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 1-1 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
13.04.2022 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-2 HT 2-1 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
01.05.2021 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 2-4 HT 1-2 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Marconi Stallions vs Blacktown City Demons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blacktown City Demons edged past Marconi Stallions 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Marconi Stallions at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blacktown City Demons led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marconi Stallions and 2.17 for Blacktown City Demons.

What was the final score of Marconi Stallions vs Blacktown City Demons?

Marconi Stallions 1-2 Blacktown City Demons in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marconi Stallions vs Blacktown City Demons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marconi Stallions win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marconi Stallions 41%, draw 25%, Blacktown City Demons 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marconi Stallions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marconi Stallions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
17 Aug 2024
07:15 Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras Analysis →
08:00 O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC Analysis →
08:30 Yoogali vs Gungahlin Analysis →
09:30 Sutherland Sharks vs St George City FA Analysis →
09:30 Devonport City vs Riverside Olympic Analysis →
09:45 Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City Analysis →