Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sagamihara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matsumoto Yamaga v Sagamihara — Team-Based Signals
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sagamihara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
5-3
HT 2-0
Sagamihara
JAP3
1-0
HT 0-0
Sagamihara
JAP3
1-4
HT 1-2
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
1-1
HT 0-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
Matsumoto Yamaga 3-2 Sagamihara — Actual Match Statistics
Matsumoto Yamaga nicked a narrow win over Sagamihara 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Matsumoto Yamaga as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 52% of the ball to Sagamihara's 48%, shots finished 15-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.33 for Sagamihara.
What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sagamihara?
Matsumoto Yamaga 3-2 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sagamihara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 42%, draw 27%, Sagamihara 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.