Jahn Regensburg 1-2 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
70%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.21
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
14.9
1/2
8%
22.35
1/X
8%
22.8
X/1
4%
17.05
X/2 EV+ ✓
35%
3.72
X/X
8%
6.99
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.54
2/X
3%
19.6
Value flag · X/2 at 3.72 — our 35% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
11%
-0.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
70%
Away Win
71%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.2pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 75%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.85/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.36
-29% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -44%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
205 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 498 · 85%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.6
17.0 Crosses 36.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Köln
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.54 xG 2.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 371
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
08.12.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL2
30.07.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 2-1 Köln Köln AFK
03.02.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 2-2 Köln Köln AFK
12.05.2019 Köln Köln 3-5 HT 0-3 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
07.12.2018 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-3 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1-2
AWAY Köln
0.41 xG 0.97
23% Ball Possession 77%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 13
92 Passes 465
54% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 30
5 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln nicked a narrow win over Jahn Regensburg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 23% of the ball to Köln's 77%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.41 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 2.00 for Köln.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Köln?

Jahn Regensburg 1-2 Köln in the Germany - DFB Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 11%, draw 19%, Köln 70%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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