Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.64/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.51
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
19.9 Crosses 11.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Orense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.37 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
384 Passes 220
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
01.12.2024 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
03.06.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
26.11.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-2 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
12.06.2023 Orense Orense 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
06.08.2022 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2-1
AWAY Orense
1.35 xG 0.64
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
474 Passes 175
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle squeezed past Orense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 69% of the ball to Orense's 31%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.35 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.67 for Orense.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Orense?

Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 58%, draw 26%, Orense 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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