Tecnico Universitario 0-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.41/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.38
-26% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.6 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Emelec
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 0.56
47% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2025 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
23.09.2024 Emelec Emelec 3-1 HT 2-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
09.09.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKVK
08.04.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
18.08.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
20.03.2023 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
0-1
AWAY Emelec
0.62 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
264 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec nicked a narrow win over Tecnico Universitario 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Emelec made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 47% of the ball to Emelec's 53%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.62 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 0.83 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec?

Tecnico Universitario 0-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 40%, draw 27%, Emelec 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tecnico Universitario), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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