Uni. Catolica 1-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 17 Aug 2025

Uni. Catolica
1-1 HT 1-1
Libertad
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Libertad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.90/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.8 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Uni. Catolica vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Libertad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 0.94
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
396 Passes 209
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
10.08.2024 Uni. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
25.07.2024 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad CSA
18.07.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica CSA
12.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
07.11.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1

Uni. Catolica 1-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
1-1
AWAY Libertad
2.82 xG 1.22
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
466 Passes 230
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica and Libertad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Uni. Catolica carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 63% of the ball to Libertad's 37%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.82 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.33 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Libertad?

Uni. Catolica 1-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 57%, draw 20%, Libertad 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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