Uni. Catolica vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uni. Catolica v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Uni. Catolica vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Libertad
EKV1
2-2
HT 0-1
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
Uni. Catolica 1-2 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad nicked a narrow win over Uni. Catolica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Uni. Catolica at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Uni. Catolica had 73% of the ball to Libertad's 27%, shots finished 29-6, expected goals 2.85 to 0.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Uni. Catolica.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.00 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Libertad?
Uni. Catolica 1-2 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 59%, draw 24%, Libertad 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS No went the other way.