Gimcheon Sangmu 6-2 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.3
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.58
6+ Goals
7%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 32% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.45
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
10%
13.8
X/1
9%
6.22
X/2
10%
4.93
X/X
13%
4.79
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
22%
3.11
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.5pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 46%
+17% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.06/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.96
-11% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 19.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Seoul
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.74 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
395 Passes 363
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
03.03.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
23.11.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
21.07.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
28.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
03.04.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 5-1 HT 4-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
6-2
AWAY FC Seoul
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 23
8 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
312 Passes 391
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu ran out comfortable winners over FC Seoul 6-2. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gimcheon Sangmu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 44% of the ball to FC Seoul's 56%, shots finished 14-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.67 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul?

Gimcheon Sangmu 6-2 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 30%, draw 32%, FC Seoul 38%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Seoul), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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17 Aug 2025
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