Gwangju 2-0 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.76
2-3 Goals
33%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.39
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
12%
4.99
X/2
13%
5.95
X/X
16%
4.2
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.45
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.11/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.44
-22% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.8 Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
382 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
29.03.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
02.11.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.09.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
06.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
2-0
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
265 Passes 466
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju got the better of Daejeon Citizen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Gwangju made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gwangju had 39% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 61%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gwangju and 1.33 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gwangju 2-0 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 38%, draw 28%, Daejeon Citizen 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
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