Gwangju 2-2 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 32% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.14
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
13%
4.95
X/2
14%
6.75
X/X
11%
4.33
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.08
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.86/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.29
-41% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 12.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
398 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
02.11.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.09.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
06.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
04.08.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 3-0 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
2-2
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
298 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju and Daejeon Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gwangju had 41% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 59%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gwangju and 1.00 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gwangju 2-2 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 40%, draw 26%, Daejeon Citizen 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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