Wisla Plock 1-0 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
14%
6.66
X/2
18%
4.95
X/X
9%
4.76
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
20%
2.98
2/X
9%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.51/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.35
+11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
19.3 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.02 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 388
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.06.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-3 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock HAZ
28.04.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
18.10.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-3 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
14.10.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
12.12.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
24.07.2021 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
1-0
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.60 xG 1.15
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
250 Passes 532
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 57
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock edged past Legia Varşova 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 34% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 66%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.60 to 1.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Legia Varşova.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.50 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Legia Varşova?

Wisla Plock 1-0 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 30%, draw 24%, Legia Varşova 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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