FA Siauliai 1-0 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.21
Over
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys The Market 49%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.75/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.57
+61% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Panevezys
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2026 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-2 HT 2-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
18.04.2026 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
05.10.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-3 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
20.07.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
01.06.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
02.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-3 HT 1-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
1-0
AWAY FK Panevezys
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai edged past FK Panevezys 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; FA Siauliai found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.83 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

FA Siauliai 1-0 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 36%, draw 25%, FK Panevezys 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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