FA Siauliai 3-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 48%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.82/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.31
+73% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Panevezys
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-3 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
20.07.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
01.06.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
02.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-3 HT 1-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
27.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-3 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
26.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
3-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai saw off FK Panevezys 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day FA Siauliai made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 60% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.50 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

FA Siauliai 3-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 32%, draw 30%, FK Panevezys 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
18 Apr 2026
14:15 Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis →