Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 20%
-18% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.68/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.38
-15% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3W-0D-1L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
26.06.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
02.05.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1-2
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius squeezed past Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kauno Zalgiris at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 71% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 29%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.00 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 60%, draw 23%, TransINVEST Vilnius 17%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ BTTS No
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