FA Siauliai 3-3 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.95
Over 2.5
62%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-9.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+9.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.5pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.27/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.56
+111% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
01.06.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
02.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-3 HT 1-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
27.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-3 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
26.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
01.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai and FK Panevezys couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.33 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

FA Siauliai 3-3 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 43%, draw 23%, FK Panevezys 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FA Siauliai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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