Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 20%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
2.26/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.16
+40% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
31.05.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
01.03.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
09.11.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
16.08.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
12.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-4 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen and Banga Gargzdai fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hegelmann Litauen at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.83 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai?

Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 58%, draw 24%, Banga Gargzdai 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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