Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 16%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.85/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.36
+19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +46%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
09.11.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
16.08.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
12.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-4 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
21.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
29.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2-0
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen got the better of Banga Gargzdai 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 61% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 39%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.17 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai?

Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 51%, draw 28%, Banga Gargzdai 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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