Banga Gargzdai 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
57%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
57%
Away Win
52%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 56%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.41/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.97
+44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
01.03.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
09.11.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
16.08.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
12.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-4 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
21.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0-1
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen edged past Banga Gargzdai 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 48% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 52%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 2.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Banga Gargzdai 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 21%, draw 21%, Hegelmann Litauen 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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