Deportivo Tachira 3-2 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Deportivo Tachira win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
61%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas The Market 19%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -27%
1.51/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.55
-11% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.7 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Monagas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 1.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
381 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2026 Monagas Monagas 2-3 HT 1-2 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
04.09.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-1 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VENK
20.08.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VENK
14.07.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
31.01.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-4 HT 1-2 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
16.09.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
3-2
AWAY Monagas
1.23 xG 1.61
21 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 4
279 Passes 151
24 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira edged past Monagas 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.23 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 1.00 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?

Deportivo Tachira 3-2 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 65%, draw 21%, Monagas 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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