Monagas 2-3 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.78
Over
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira The Market 45%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.00/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.88
-28% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.7 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-1 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VENK
20.08.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VENK
14.07.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
31.01.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-4 HT 1-2 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
16.09.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
21.03.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
2-3
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira nicked a narrow win over Monagas 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monagas had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 40%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Monagas and 1.17 for Deportivo Tachira.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira?

Monagas 2-3 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monagas 28%, draw 27%, Deportivo Tachira 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5
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