Caracas FC 1-2 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.67
Over
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.6pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV The Market 42%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.96/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.25
-42% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
224 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
14.7 Crosses 20.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UCV
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.76 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-5 HT 0-2 UCV UCV VEN
28.04.2025 UCV UCV 1-3 HT 0-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
14.10.2024 UCV UCV 1-3 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
15.04.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-2 HT 2-2 UCV UCV VEN
17.09.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
26.02.2023 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-2
AWAY UCV
2.00 xG 1.81
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
394 Passes 183
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV edged past Caracas FC 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; UCV found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Caracas FC had 65% of the ball to UCV's 35%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 2.00 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Caracas FC and 1.50 for UCV.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs UCV?

Caracas FC 1-2 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 32%, draw 32%, UCV 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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