Wycombe Wanderers 5-3 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.74/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.09
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
27.1 Crosses 14.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.14 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
254 Passes 392
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2024 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 4-1 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
5-3
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
2.85 xG 2.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
354 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers got the better of Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 5-3. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wycombe Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 50% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Alb. U21's 50%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.85 to 2.97.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Wycombe Wanderers 5-3 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 50%, draw 21%, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 30%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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