Bala Town 2-0 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

Bala Town
2-0
Holywell
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Wales - League Cup – 2024/2025

Bala Town vs Holywell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bala Town v Holywell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 16%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.83
-14% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +55%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
486 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town saw off Holywell 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bala Town as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Holywell?

Bala Town 2-0 Holywell in the Wales - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 56%, draw 25%, Holywell 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bala Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bala Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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