Broughton 0-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
64%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.94
Over 2.5
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.76
No
61%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
+14.3pp
16%
Draw
9%
+7.0pp
64%
Away Win
85%
-21.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.9pp
61%
BTTS No
47%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Broughton EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -27%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 533 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Broughton vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints squeezed past Broughton 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Broughton vs The New Saints?

Broughton 0-1 The New Saints in the Wales - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Broughton vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Broughton 19%, draw 16%, The New Saints 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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