17/09/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Broughton vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
16%
Draw
9%
64%
Away Win
85%
41%
Under 2.5
22%
59%
Over 2.5
78%
39%
BTTS Yes
53%
61%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Broughton v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Broughton
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
The New Saints
EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-45% /
-45%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-61%
/
-27%
38%
Ball Possession
62%
8
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
6
254 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
533 · 87%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Broughton vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
The New Saints squeezed past Broughton 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
What was the final score of Broughton vs The New Saints?
Broughton 0-1 The New Saints in the Wales - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Broughton vs The New Saints?
Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Broughton 19%, draw 16%, The New Saints 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (The New Saints)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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GALLK
More Wales - League Cup
17 Sep 2024