Cardiff City U21 2-1 Merthyr Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

Cardiff City U21
2-1
Merthyr Town
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - League Cup – 2024/2025

Cardiff City U21 vs Merthyr Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.14
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.2pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.4pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.5pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cardiff City U21 v Merthyr Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
338 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Merthyr Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 edged past Merthyr Town 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Merthyr Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Merthyr Town?

Cardiff City U21 2-1 Merthyr Town in the Wales - League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Merthyr Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 35%, draw 23%, Merthyr Town 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Merthyr Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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