Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nashville SC v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Nashville SC
ABD
0-2
HT 0-1
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Nashville SC 3-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC beat Philadelphia Union 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Nashville SC had 41% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 59%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.60 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nashville SC and 1.33 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Nashville SC 3-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Open Cup on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 44%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.