Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham Legion v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Birmingham Legion 1-4 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies swept aside Birmingham Legion 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day Tampa Bay Rowdies made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Birmingham Legion had 46% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 54%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.75 to 1.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.33 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Birmingham Legion 1-4 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 40%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.