Monagas 1-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Carabobo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.87 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
281 Passes 252
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Monagas Monagas 2-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
09.03.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
14.11.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
31.10.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
09.08.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
19.02.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-1
AWAY Carabobo
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas and Carabobo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Monagas at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Monagas had 54% of the ball to Carabobo's 46%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Monagas and 0.50 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Carabobo?

Monagas 1-1 Carabobo in the VENK on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Monagas 47%, draw 29%, Carabobo 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monagas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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