Widzew Lodz 3-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.57
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.62
X/2
9%
7.83
X/X
7%
5.08
2/1
9%
23.1
2/2
13%
5.78
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
1.26/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.41
-20% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.0 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.60 xG 1.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
317 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
23.08.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-2 HT 2-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
25.05.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-3 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
02.12.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
21.05.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-1 HT 2-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
06.11.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
3-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.54 xG 2.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
254 Passes 281
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz squeezed past Radomiak Radom 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Widzew Lodz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 48% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 52%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 2.54 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Widzew Lodz and 2.17 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom?

Widzew Lodz 3-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 45%, draw 24%, Radomiak Radom 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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17 Oct 2025
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