Badalona 0-1 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ibiza Islas Pitiusas EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.07/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.91
-11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 0-2 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İSPFK
05.02.2023 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-1 HT 1-1 Badalona Badalona İS4
18.09.2022 Badalona Badalona 3-1 HT 1-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas İS4
01.05.2022 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-2 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
12.12.2021 Badalona Badalona 1-0 HT 0-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona
0-1
AWAY Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Badalona vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas edged past Badalona 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Badalona had 54% of the ball to Ibiza Islas Pitiusas's 46%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Badalona had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Badalona and 0.60 for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas.

What was the final score of Badalona vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?

Badalona 0-1 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Badalona 38%, draw 28%, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Badalona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Badalona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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