Cacereno 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.29/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.53
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
1-0
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno squeezed past Rayo Majadahonda 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cacereno had 45% of the ball to Rayo Majadahonda's 55%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Cacereno 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 44%, draw 29%, Rayo Majadahonda 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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